Circle暴漲後該放空嗎？ARK巨額拋售解析
Circle的矛盾：基本面 vs 市場狂熱
觀察Circle（CRCL）自6月5日IPO以來的股價走勢，就像在看粒子加速器實驗 - 唯一突破光速的是華爾街對加密敘事的狂熱。關鍵數據：兩週內上漲500%，市值達4840億美元（超過福特汽車），ARK Invest已獲利9600萬美元但仍持有3.71億美元部位。
關鍵指標一覽：
- 當前股價：199.59美元（6月18日收盤）
- 流通股僅佔總股數17.94%
- USDC儲備金：約6000億美元
為何加密老手感到困惑
諷刺的是，當散戶FOMO湧入CRCL時，真正了解USDC運作的加密老手卻分為三類：
- 捏著鼻子勉強買進的人
- 因估值過高而錯失機會的分析癱瘓患者
- 因BlackRock的BUIDL威脅而警告遠離的專家
如某X平台評論所言：「你以為加密顛覆金融？現在金融加入加密並顛覆了你的顛覆。」
機構的算計
ARK的操作展現機構務實面 - 對部分持倉獲利了結25%，同時保持核心曝險。他們仍持有400萬股（佔ETF配置6.13%），暗示預期進一步上漲空間，儘管存在：
- 單一收入模式風險（USDC浮動收益）
- 川普背書USD1的競爭加劇 18個月的內部人士鎖定期造成人為稀缺，迫使避險基金追逐動能。結果？一場典型的伽馬擠壓，讓基本面變得無關緊要。
該不該放空？
直白建議：別這麼做。如Hayes警告：「情緒溢價是最可怕的加速器。」考慮到：
- 180天鎖定期限制供給
- 5%以上的年化借券費用
- 傳統投資者視CRCL為「VISA2.0」 這項交易已吞噬比Luna Classic更多的資金。
現實檢驗： Circle並非被視為穩定幣發行商，而是華爾街進入加密基礎設施的代幣化入口。這個敘事是否合理已不重要，當你面對聯準會流動性和迷因股能量時。 結論？關注Coinbase關聯性，監控BUIDL採用情況，但現階段請遠離放空交易。
BeanTownChain
熱門評論 (5)
Der große Circle-Paradox
500% Gewinn in zwei Wochen? Selbst Tesla ist neidisch! Circle (CRCL) hat Wall Street mit USDC-Magie verzaubert – oder sollten wir sagen verrückt gemacht?
Warum Crypto-OGs verwirrt sind
Während Retail-Trader FOMO bekommen, zucken die alten Hasen nur mit den Schultern: „BlackRock’s BUIDL kommt doch eh bald.“ Aber hey, wer braucht schon Fundamentaldaten, wenn man stattdessen einen guten alten Gamma-Squeez haben kann?
ARK’s genialer Move
96 Millionen abkassieren, aber trotzdem noch 371 Millionen halten? Das nenne ich mal „sich die Sahne abschöpfen und den Kuchen trotzdem behalten“. Vielleicht sollten wir alle einfach ARK kopieren… oder doch nicht?
Fazit: Shorten? Lieber nicht. Wie Hayes sagt: „Emotionale Prämien sind gefährlich.“ Also lasst uns zurücklehnen und den Wahnsinn genießen – mit Popcorn.
Was meint ihr? Springt ihr auf den Zug auf oder wartet ihr auf den Crash?
Circle đang bay lên như tên lửa SpaceX
Nhìn biểu đồ CRCL từ khi IPO mà cứ ngỡ Elon Musk lại phóng thêm tên lửa! 500% tăng trưởng trong 2 tuần, vốn hóa vượt cả Ford - điều này khiến các ‘lão làng’ crypto chỉ biết gãi đầu.
Nghịch lý thú vị
Retail trader thì FOMO vào CRCL như đi chợ xuân, trong khi các chuyên gia USDC lại nhăn mặt mua vào. Như một bình luận trên X: ‘Tài chính truyền thống vừa đâm vào crypto và phá hỏng luôn cú đâm của bạn!’ 😆
Đừng dại mà short
Theo kinh nghiệm 7 năm crypto của tôi: đừng! Phí vay >5%/năm + thiếu nguồn cung do lockup = công thức hoàn hảo để… cháy túi. Circle giờ được xem như ‘VISA 2.0’ - dù giá trị thật hay bong bóng thì momentum vẫn là ông hoàng.
Các bạn nghĩ sao? Mua tiếp hay chuẩn bị… dù?
Gila Nih CRCL! 🚀
Beli saham Circle (CRCL) itu kayak naik rollercoaster tanpa sabuk pengaman - dari IPO langsung ngegas 500% dalam 2 minggu! ARK Invest udah kantongi untung \(96 juta tapi masih pegang \)371 juta.
Yang bikin geleng-geleng:
- Market cap-nya lebih gede dari Ford!
- Trader kripto veteran pada bingung mau beli atau enggak
- Fees shorting-nya 5% per tahun, lebih bahaya dari main api!
Kayanya mending jadi penonton dulu deh… Kalian setuju? 😂
When Stablecoins Aren’t So Stable
Watching Circle’s stock is like seeing a yoga instructor on Red Bull - supposedly grounded but moving at ridiculous speeds! 500% in two weeks? At this rate, USDC might stand for ‘Unbelievably Spicy Dollar Crazy’.
ARK’s Genius Play: Take \(96M profit while still holding \)371M? That’s like eating your cake and having it fund another bakery. Meanwhile, crypto OGs are either:
- Buying while holding nose clips
- Paralysis-by-spreadsheet victims
- Yelling ‘I told you so!’ at their screens
As Hayes wisely warned: emotional premiums burn faster than LUNA. Maybe we should value CRCL in memes instead of multiples?
So…still thinking about shorting? laughs in 180-day lockup
Circle’s Stock: A Rollercoaster You Didn’t Buy Tickets For
Watching Circle’s stock is like seeing a crypto-themed amusement park where the rides have no safety checks. 500% gains in two weeks? That’s not investing; that’s betting on a meme coin with a suit on.
The Irony Buffet Crypto OGs are either holding their noses while buying or paralyzed by analysis. Meanwhile, ARK Invest is casually pocketing $96M like it’s loose change. Talk about a plot twist!
Short Sellers Beware Thinking of shorting? Good luck! With 180-day lockups and 5% borrow fees, you might as well try to stop a rocket with a water pistol.
So, is it time to short? Let’s just say… maybe grab some popcorn instead. 🍿
