ट्रम्प बनाम पॉवेल

ट्रम्प की दरों की मांग: वित्तीय दुनिया में सिरदरदुआ

मैंने हाल ही में मार्केट में अस्थिरता देखी, पर यह कुछ और है — पूरे प्रधानमंत्री के सफलता से Federal Reserve पर सभी-एक-बड़ी हमला। Donald Trump ने Twitter पर ‘अगर Jerome Powell 1%-2% interest rates कटते हैं, तो ‘वह पूरी तरह से मूढ़’ है,और ‘उनके हटाए’।

यह सच है: मैं किसी 政治家 का समर्थन/विरोध नहीं करता। पर, DeFi में फाइनेंशियल मशीन -जोड़ -खोज-जबड़ियों -सबकुछ -इस घटना (economic signaling)

1000$ Trillion:गणना ?यथार्थ?

Trump \(1T annual saving claim. अग्रणि: US debt ~\)34T, average rate ~4.5%, total interest cost ~\(1.5T. At 2% → \)680B → savings of ~\(820B/year. Not \)1T, but still massive money — for infrastructure, R&D or tax cuts. So yes — there’s truth here — but only if inflation is under control… which brings us to his next claim.

मुद्रास्‍फ‍फ‍ति:खण्‍ड/उपचय?

Trump says ‘almost no inflation’—tariffs and factories as proof. But data says otherwise:

• Core PCE (Fed’s favorite): ~3%, above target.
• Housing costs sticky; services inflation lingers. The persistence is worrying for policymakers. The tension? That’s where risk lives — especially for Bitcoin (rises when real yields fall) or stablecoins (demand shifts with rate expectations).

Crypto & Markets – Why This Matters? The moment markets believe rate cuts are coming — even rumors — leveraged positions unwind fast, volatility spikes, capital flows into risk assets like equities and digital tokens. DeFi feels this more than most: low yields on stablecoin deposits push users toward yield-bearing protocols or risky strategies like liquidity mining. The key question now? Will policy-driven expectations outweigh actual data? The answer will shape not just Wall Street… but Chainlink feeds too. And yes — I know what you’re thinking: “John, aren’t you supposed to be analyzing blockchain trends?” Precisely why I’m watching this closely. Macro isn’t separate from crypto anymore— it is the environment we operate in.