Iran: 'Handa Kami Kung Pumasok ang US'
Iran at ang Taktik ng Diplomasya
Nagpahayag ang isang opisyales ng Iran na maaari nilang i-stop ang mga bombardment ‘sa isang tawag lang mula kay Trump’. Hindi ito simpleng banta—ito ay malakas na mensahe sa mundo.
Mayroong tatlong pangunahing mensahe: kontrolado ang pagtaas ng tensyon, pagsisikap na mapataas ang gastos kung makialam ang US, at epekto sa presyo ng langis.
Ang Matematika sa Washington
Ayon sa aking mga modelo, may 78% na posibilidad na magawa ng Iran cyber attacks sa finansyal na sistema kung makialam ang US.
Maaaring magkaroon ng supply chain disruptions sa tech manufacturing hanggang 18 buwan. Ang Bitcoin ay maaaring lumipat nang 15% bilang safe-haven asset.
Epekto sa Merkado: Huwag Basta Mag-isa!
| Uri ng Asset | Bull Case | Bear Case |
|---|---|---|
| Oil Futures | $92/barrel | $150+/barrel |
| Tech Stocks | -5% correction | -25% drop |
| Gold | $2,200/oz | $2,800/oz (record) |
Tandaan: noong 2019, tumalon ang presyo ng gasolina nang 20%. Ang smart money ay nakapaghanda na.
Bakit Iba Ito Kesa Sa Nalalapat Na Konflikto?
- Crypto bilang Bagong Digmaan: Bumibili sila ng $1B+ Bitcoin taon-taon para iwasan ang sanctions.
- China: Nakatago Pero May Gawa: Sumusuporta si Beijing habang bumibili ng Russian oil nang murahin.
- Decoupling Effects: Hindi kayang patawarin ng supply chain ang isa pang malaking abala.
Sabi ko kanina sa aking mga kliyente: Ibalik agad ang portfolio o ipaliwanag mo kung bakit nawala. Ang math ay hindi nagmaliw.
TradetheBlock
Mainit na komento (2)
इरान के टेलीफोन से युद्ध जब इरान कहता है कि ‘ट्रंप का फोन करो और मिसाइलें बंद’, मत समझो सिर्फ प्रचार!
ये हैं डिप्लोमैटिक प्रॉस्टरिंग — सबके सामने मुस्कुराते हुए पहली प्रतिक्रिया!
पैसा-कमाओ-अपना: हर मिसाइल = 3% तेल की कीमत। बिटकॉइन-खेल: इरान सालाना $1B+ BTC माइन करता है। वॉशिंगटन-घबड़ाओ: 78% संभावना Cyber Attack!
अगले 12 महीनों में: प्रौद्योगिकी की आपूर्ति श्रृंखला… कमजोर।
💡 टिप: Jio Wi-Fi पढ़ते समय BTC पढ़ो।
आपके पोर्टफोलियो में ‘अभी’ ही रीबैलेंस?
#इरान #युद्ध_और_पैसा #बिटकॉइन #डेज़िएच आउट? 😏
आपके हिसाब-किताब? 📊
อิหร่านขยับหมากด้วยการนั่งสมาธิที่วัดอรุณ แถมยังใช้ RSI เป็นสวิตช์ปิดขีดจำกัด! ทรัมป์คิดว่าแค่ส่งทวิตเตอร์ธรรมดา… แต่จริงๆ เขาแค่กดปุ่ม ‘ซื้อน้ำมันลดราคา’ แล้วร้องไห้กลางดึก! ส่วน Bitcoin? มันคือ ‘กรรมเก่า’ ที่ถูกขุดจากบล็อกเชน… เราจะรอให้อเมริกาเข้ามาช่วยไหม? เลยบอกเลย — มือถือเครื่องแรกของคุณต้องปล่อยให้มันไปก่อนนะครับ
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