Circle's IPO: How a Stablecoin Company Redefined Wall Street's Crypto Valuation Playbook

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Circle's IPO: How a Stablecoin Company Redefined Wall Street's Crypto Valuation Playbook

Watching Circle’s stock chart last week felt like witnessing Elon Musk launch a DeFi protocol from the NYSE floor. A 180% first-day pop? A 250% two-day gain? For a company that essentially prints digital dollars? Welcome to 2025, where stablecoins now command higher multiples than most AI startups.

By the numbers:

  • 15x revenue multiple (vs Coinbase’s 7x)
  • 160x earnings (your grandma’s Treasury bonds just cried)
  • $1.2T annual transaction volume (approaching Visa’s scale at 1/80th the valuation)

The Hidden Hand: Coinbase’s Billion-Dollar Side Hustle

Here’s the dirty secret Wall Street won’t tell you: Coinbase likely makes more from USDC than Circle itself. Their revenue-sharing agreement—reportedly taking 50% of USDC’s earnings—turns every stablecoin transaction into a toll booth for America’s largest crypto exchange. I’ve audited enough smart contracts to know when a protocol is front-running its own ecosystem.

Tether’s Regulatory Poker Face

The real fireworks start when you realize Tether could be worth $500B if valued like Circle. But with Washington’s new stablecoin bill demanding 1:1 Treasury backing, Paolo Ardoino faces an existential choice:

  1. Open their famously opaque reserves to Fed scrutiny
  2. Abandon the US market entirely (currently ~30% of volume)

My bet? They’ll do what any rational offshore entity would—take option #2 and let Circle monopolize regulated markets while dominating emerging economies.

Bankers vs Builders: The Coming Stablecoin Wars

JPMorgan won’t surrender $120B in payment revenue without a fight. Their rumored bank consortium stablecoin could launch within quarters. But here’s why legacy finance struggles:

  • Tech debt: Most banks still run on COBOL systems older than Satoshi
  • Compliance overhead: KYC checks add latency that makes DeFi users vomit memes

The irony? Banks may end up licensing Circle’s tech—the ultimate ‘if you can’t beat them, join them’ scenario.

Meme Stock or Monetary Revolution?

Tarun Chitra nailed it: Circle is the “CoreWeave of finance”—a infrastructure play disguised as hype. At these valuations, every basis point of global dollar flow matters. That’s why I’m long CIRCLE but hedging with COIN calls. Because in this game, even the croupiers get rich.

WolfOfBlockSt

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Hot comment (5)

LynxDeFi
LynxDeFiLynxDeFi
1 week ago

Circle IPO: Quand les stablecoins valent plus que l’IA

15x le chiffre d’affaires ? 160x les bénéfices ? Circle réécrit les règles de Wall Street avec ses crypto-dollars. Goldman Sachs doit se demander pourquoi il n’a pas investi dans l’imprimante magique !

Le secret de Coinbase Saviez-vous que Coinbase gagne plus avec USDC que Circle elle-même ? C’est comme si le péage était plus rentable que l’autoroute…

Et Tether dans tout ça ? 500 milliards de valuation potentielle, mais préfère jouer à cache-cache avec la Fed. Le choix est simple : transparence ou fuite vers les paradis fiscaux. À vos paris !

Qui va gagner la guerre des stablecoins ? Les banques avec leur COBOL poussiéreux ou Circle avec sa tech disruptive ? Dites-moi dans les commentaires !

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L'AnalysteChiffrée

La crypto qui fait pleurer Goldman Sachs

Circle en IPO? C’est comme si ton boulanger du coin décidait de coter sa baguette en bourse! 180% de hausse le premier jour? Même les NFTs ont rougi de jalousie.

Le petit secret de Coinbase

Saviez-vous qu’ils gagnent plus avec USDC que Circle elle-même? C’est le nouveau business modèle: voler discretos sous les stablecoins. Comme disait ma grand-mère: ‘l’argent ne dort jamais’… surtout pas en crypto!

Et Tether dans tout ça?

500 milliards de valuation potentielle… mais avec un petit problème: leurs réserves sont plus opaques que le café de la machine au bureau. À quand l’audit?

Alors, prêt à investir ou vous préférez garder vos euros sous le matelas? 😉

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КриптоМедведь

Крипто-революция по-американски

Circle с их IPO сделали то, что даже Илон Маск не смог – заставили Уолл-стрит поверить в стабильные монеты! 250% роста за два дня? Это вам не бабушкины облигации.

Грязный секрет: Coinbase зарабатывает на USDC больше, чем сам Circle. Типичный кейс “кто везет, того и подвозят” в мире крипты!

А Tether? Если бы их оценивали как Circle, Паоло Ардоино уже купался бы в деньгах. Но регуляторы не дремлют – выбор между прозрачностью и бегством очевиден.

Банкиры в панике: их COBOL-системы старше Сатоши Накамото! Кто бы мог подумать, что им придется лицензировать технологии у крипто-стартапа?

Так мем или революция? Делайте ваши ставки, господа!

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블록체인무사

“15배 수익률? 할머니 국채 보고 울겠네”

골드만삭스도 눈 깜짝할 사이에 180% 급등한 Circle의 IPO. 알고 보면 코인베이스가 더 떼먹는 구조라니… 이게 바로 신흥 강자의 패기! (속닥속닥: 테더는 규제 피해 어디로 갈지 베팅 중)

진짜 전쟁은 지금부터 JP모건이 COBOL로 뚝딴다고? 기술 부채 탓에 결국 Circle 기술 살 날만 기다리는 거 아닐까요? 여러분의 예측은? 💸 #스테이블코인전쟁 #헷지추천받아요

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BitPesoBro
BitPesoBroBitPesoBro
1 day ago

Grabe ang Circle!

Akala mo ba gold lang ang safe haven? Ngayon, stablecoins na ang bagong gold! 180% gain sa first day? Parang nag-YOLO ka sa memecoin pero may actual value!

Coinbase secret: Sila pala ang tunay na kumikita sa USDC - parang kasambahay na mas malaki pa sweldo kesa amo!

Tether vs Regulators: Pustahan tayo, uuwi na lang sila sa Bahamas kesa magpakita ng resibo! 😂

Kayo, ano masasabi niyo? Totoo bang crypto na ang bagong Wall Street? Comment below mga ka-Crypto Pinoys!

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